The weather forecast for the 2025 Formula 1 Belgian Grand Prix at Circuit de Spa-Francorchamps suggests a highly unpredictable weekend ahead, with rain a recurring possibility. Known for its variable weather, Spa is expected to present a real challenge to teams and drivers throughout the three-day event. The ever-changing conditions could disrupt strategies and impact performance, especially with a Sprint Race format that heightens the importance of each session.
On Friday, July 25, the weekend begins with Free Practice 1 at 12:30pm CET, followed by Sprint Qualifying at 4:30pm CET. The morning is predicted to start under overcast skies, with a chance of light drizzle early in the day. As FP1 gets underway, conditions should improve slightly with temperatures around 20°C. However, forecasts indicate that the weather may deteriorate again by mid-afternoon, with a 60% chance of light to moderate rainfall potentially affecting Sprint Qualifying.
Saturday, July 26, is expected to begin with misty weather, but this should clear before the day’s main events. With temperatures reaching around 22°C in the morning and up to 23°C later on, dry conditions seem likely—though not guaranteed. Despite a rain-free forecast on paper, teams are wary of Spa’s sudden climate shifts, which have caught out even top teams in the past. In 2021, for example, Mercedes’ decision to prioritize race pace over qualifying backfired when poor weather led to a cancelled race, costing Hamilton points in his title fight with Verstappen.
The possibility of unexpected changes in weather means that teams must remain flexible with setups and strategies. While the current outlook favors dry running for Saturday’s Sprint Race and Qualifying, no assumptions can be safely made at Spa. A sudden downpour could throw the grid into chaos and create opportunities for underdog drivers and teams to capitalize on the confusion.
With rain expected to return on Sunday, the race weekend as a whole could become a showcase of tactical brilliance, driver skill in wet conditions, and last-minute decision-making. Whether the skies clear or the rain falls, the 2025 Belgian Grand Prix promises to deliver high drama on one of the sport’s most iconic circuits.
About the Author
