McLaren enter the Azerbaijan Grand Prix with a golden opportunity to wrap up the 2025 Formula 1 Constructors’ Championship. Their campaign has been nothing short of dominant, boasting 12 wins from 16 races, seven double podiums, and consistent top-three finishes almost every weekend. With a massive cushion of over 300 points compared to their rivals, the team stands on the brink of securing the title with several races still left to run.
So far this season, McLaren’s 617 points place them far ahead of Ferrari’s 280, Mercedes’ 260, and Red Bull’s 239. That level of supremacy has effectively put the British outfit in a league of their own, turning what would normally be a tense championship battle into a question of when—not if—they’ll seal the deal. All eyes are now on the streets of Baku to see if McLaren can officially put the trophy beyond anyone else’s reach.
Looking at the calendar, eight races remain, with a possible 389 points still available. These come from five traditional race weekends offering 43 points each, and three Sprint formats that offer 58 points each. Yet, with McLaren holding a 337-point advantage over Ferrari, it would take an almost impossible turnaround for the Scuderia or anyone else to close the gap. The math already paints a clear picture: McLaren are within touching distance of the championship.
The equation in Azerbaijan is fairly straightforward. If McLaren can extend their lead over Ferrari to 346 points or more after the race, they will be crowned champions. To do this, they simply need to outscore Ferrari by nine points. Even without relying on their rival’s performance, a McLaren victory paired with a second or third-place finish for their other driver would mathematically seal the title in Baku.
While Ferrari hold the most realistic—albeit faint—hope, Mercedes and Red Bull technically remain in contention. Mercedes sit 357 points adrift and must outscore McLaren by at least 12 points this weekend, while Red Bull trail by 378 points and would need to slash the gap by 33 points to stay alive. Should McLaren falter in Azerbaijan, the battle would shift to Singapore, but given their dominance, it seems more a matter of timing than possibility.
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